Who Can Receive a Scholarship? report cover, American Federation for Children
New Analysis

Who Can Receive a Scholarship?

The Eligible K-12 Student Population Under the New Federal Education Freedom Tax Credit (EFTC)

The first state-by-state estimates of the number and share of children eligible to enroll in a K-12 school and receive a scholarship under Section 25F of the IRS Code.

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WHAT THE NUMBERS SHOW

52M STUDENTS

Estimates project that nearly 52 million K-12 students are eligible for the Education Freedom Tax Credit (EFTC) scholarship beginning in 2027.

85.9-96.2%

Eligibility is near-universal in every state. The eligible share ranges from 85.9% (DC) to 96.2% (Maine).

31 STATES

31 states have opted in or signaled intent to participate, home to 30.9 million eligible students (59.8% of the national total).

20.8M ELIGIBLE

20.8 million eligible students are waiting in the 19 states and DC that have not yet decided.

20.5M STUDENTS

For 20.5 million students, the EFTC could bring private school choice to their state for the first time. 18 states currently have no state-level ESA, voucher, or tax credit scholarship program.

300% MEDIAN

Most families qualify. The income limit is 300% of area median income, which ranges from ~$234,000 to nearly $500,000 for a family of four, depending on location.

K-12 EFTC eligibility by state

Students

51.7 Million

Of school aged students

91.7%

The number and share of K-12 students eligible for a scholarship under the Education Freedom Tax Credit.

Percent eligible 86-88% 88-90% 90-92% 92-94% 94-96%+

State-by-state detail

StateEligible studentsStudentsPercent eligible%Opted inIn
Alabama (AL)818,57694.1%
Alaska (AK)125,68095.1%
Arizona (AZ)1,124,71389.2%
Arkansas (AR)480,97988.2%
California (CA)5,909,15092.4%
Colorado (CO)895,20293.6%
Connecticut (CT)494,09987.9%
Delaware (DE)149,23891.4%
District of Columbia (DC)77,66985.9%
Florida (FL)3,181,77391.9%
Georgia (GA)1,756,94688.6%
Hawaii (HI)195,45291.3%
Idaho (ID)329,57088.4%
Illinois (IL)1,924,74992.5%
Indiana (IN)1,164,16594.8%
Iowa (IA)519,55392.3%
Kansas (KS)503,39893.3%
Kentucky (KY)733,00993.5%
Louisiana (LA)772,58593.8%
Maine (ME)185,39496.2%
Maryland (MD)954,07290.9%
Massachusetts (MA)940,60990.4%
Michigan (MI)1,516,18393.4%
Minnesota (MN)917,61690.6%
Mississippi (MS)481,48793.9%
Missouri (MO)938,11388.5%
Montana (MT)160,26786.4%
Nebraska (NE)356,53195.8%
Nevada (NV)481,21089.2%
New Hampshire (NH)173,90290.2%
New Jersey (NJ)1,430,04092.1%
New Mexico (NM)310,28187.9%
New York (NY)2,738,77490.2%
North Carolina (NC)1,697,48792.7%
North Dakota (ND)121,66686.6%
Ohio (OH)1,866,29693.5%
Oklahoma (OK)674,86189.2%
Oregon (OR)577,40988.9%
Pennsylvania (PA)1,802,46389.0%
Rhode Island (RI)139,73491.2%
South Carolina (SC)782,52187.7%
South Dakota (SD)153,97990.3%
Tennessee (TN)1,132,19994.0%
Texas (TX)5,485,71992.8%
Utah (UT)658,20190.3%
Vermont (VT)77,48388.1%
Virginia (VA)1,371,65694.2%
Washington (WA)1,190,40893.1%
West Virginia (WV)257,95595.2%
Wisconsin (WI)875,31790.9%
Wyoming (WY)90,21489.4%
United States51,696,55391.7%31
Source: Patrick Graff, American Federation for Children federationforchildren.org

Notes: Estimates give the number of children eligible to enroll in a K-12 school whose household income is under 300% of the median income for their area (as published by HUD), the eligibility limit for scholarships under the federal Education Freedom Tax Credit. Estimates reflect anticipated rules on homeschool eligibility, which will likely defer to state laws on the legal status of homeschool students in each state. Percentages are the share of each state's K-12-eligible children. A green check (✓) marks the 31 states that have opted in to the EFTC as of July 2026; the list will grow as more states decide. Source: American Federation for Children analysis of Census Population Estimates, American Community Survey, HUD Income Limits, and Household Pulse Survey data (2026). Opt-in status: federalscholarships.com. Learn more about our affiliated scholarship granting organization at afcscholarshipfund.org.

SGO Awards a Scholarship

The SGO turns donations into scholarships for students who need them.

Student Receives a Scholarship

Funds cover educational costs: tuition, tutoring, books, and more.

Donor Claims the Credit

At filing, the donor claims a dollar-for-dollar federal credit of up to $1,700.

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